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  1. 3 days ago · Data for FiveThirtyEight's previous favorability, presidential approval and national 2024 Republican primary averages is available for download here. Notice any bugs or missing polls? Send us...

  2. 3 days ago · As of July 21 at 2 p.m. Eastern, President Joe Biden has suspended his campaign for the 2024 Democratic Party nomination for president. We will publish an election forecast including the new...

  3. 3 days ago · Data for FiveThirtyEight's previous favorability, presidential approval and national 2024 Republican primary averages is available for download here. Notice any bugs or missing polls? Send us...

  4. Trump and Biden talk taxes at 1st debate. New York Times polling editor Ruth Igielnik and senior election analyst Nathaniel Rakich join the 538 Politics podcast to discuss the first presidential ...

  5. Nov 3, 2020 · FiveThirtyEight has issued its final presidential forecast. There hasn’t been a lot of change over the past 24 or 48 hours, as most of the late polling either c…

  6. Feb 2, 2023 · Build An NBA Contender With Our Roster-Shuffling Machine. By Ryan Best and Jay Boice. Jun 14, 2023. The Best NBA Players, According To RAPTOR. By Ryan Best, Jay Boice and Nate Silver. Jun 13, 2023....

  7. Mar 10, 2023 · Taken altogether, the polls in our pollster-ratings database have a weighted-average 3 error of 6.0 points since 1998. However, polling in the 2021-22 election cycle had a weighted-average error ...

  8. 538, originally rendered as FiveThirtyEight, is an American website that focused on opinion poll analysis, politics, economics, and sports blogging in the United States. Founder Nate Silver left in 2023, taking the rights to his forecasting model with him to his website Silver Bulletin.

  9. Nov 8, 2022 · Latest forecasts and polls for the 2022 midterm elections from ABC News’s FiveThirtyEight

  10. Nov 3, 2020 · Latest forecast of the 2020 presidential election between President Donald Trump and Joe Biden by Nate Silver’s FiveThirtyEight.