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  1. Jan 1, 2024 · The United States. Donald Trump will return to the White House (55 percent) Predicting a presidential race a year out is tough. As political scientists Robert Erikson and Christopher Wlezien...

  2. May 4, 2022 · The United States is now facing the familiar precursors of a recession, including rising interest rates on the back of high inflation. The Federal Reserve is taking action, and its decisions will be critical to the length and severity of any recession.

  3. Jan 9, 2023 · What the world could look like in ten years, according to more than 160 experts. By Mary Kate Aylward, Peter Engelke, Uri Friedman, and Paul Kielstra. Prepare for Russia’s coming crack-up. Plan for a Chinese military assault on Taiwan. Temper the optimism about peak carbon emissions.

  4. One is to accelerate and to intensify some things. For example, consider population aging. Inevitably in a recession, we have fewer babies. The mere postponement of having babies accelerates population aging, so problems related to Social Security and pensions will arrive earlier.

  5. Jan 12, 2024 · Nearly 12 percent of respondents overall expect the United States to break up by 2034a much lower percentage than those who thought the same about Russia, as noted above, but a higher percentage than those who said the same about other powers such as China (7 percent) and India (6 percent).

  6. Dec 21, 2021 · 1. The vaccine miracle—and cautionary message. 2. Technology’s double-edged sword. 3. Here comes deglobalization. 4. The deepening of domestic disorders. 5. Meet the New World Order 2.0. 6. Climate change: Where some Sino-US competition might actually be good. 7. A middle-power balancing act against a bipolar world. 8.

  7. Dec 28, 2023 · We predict that 2024 is the year there’s a breakthrough on this roughly two-year debate and the United States and European allies find a legal pathway to siphon all those frozen funds to Ukraine...