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Feb 10, 2023 · Hindsight bias is the tendency to perceive past events as more predictable than they actually were. Learn how it affects our judgments, decisions, and learning, and how to avoid it with strategies and tips.
Adults and children with hindsight bias share the core cognitive constraint of being biased to one's current knowledge while, at the same time, attempting to recall or reason about a more naïve cognitive state—regardless of whether the more naïve state is one's earlier naïve state or someone else's.
hindsight bias, the tendency, upon learning an outcome of an event—such as an experiment, a sporting event, a military decision, or a political election—to overestimate one’s ability to have foreseen the outcome. Hindsight bias is colloquially known as the “I knew it all along phenomenon.”
Learn what hindsight bias is, why it's bad for decision-making, and how to overcome it. Find out the causes, effects, and strategies to reduce this cognitive bias.
Jan 7, 2024 · What Is Hindsight Bias? The term "hindsight bias" refers to the tendency people have to view events as more predictable than they really are. Before an event takes place, while you might be able to offer a guess as to the outcome, there is really no way to actually know what's going to happen.
Learn what hindsight bias is, how it affects our decision-making, and how to avoid it. The Decision Lab is a consulting firm that helps organizations identify and overcome cognitive biases.
Sep 29, 2022 · Hindsight bias is a psychological phenomenon that makes people think they predicted an event before it happened. Learn how it affects investing, decision-making, and how to avoid it with tips and examples.
