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  1. Jul 22, 2024 · PERT is determined using three points: Optimistic (O), Most Likely (M), and Pessimistic (P). PERT combines probability theory and statistics to derive a formula for the average activity from the three-point estimates. PERT estimate formula is: (O + 4M +P) / 6

  2. E = Expected amount of time or cost, O = Optimistic estimate, M = Most likely estimate, P = Pessimistic estimate. The PMBOK uses t(E), t(O), t(M) and t(P) as variables for time estimates and c(E), c(O), c(M) and c(P). The weight of each estimate in this equation is identical.

  3. A traditional PERT chart relies on the weighted average of three numbers that are based on the most pessimistic (P), the most optimistic (O) and the most likey (M) estimates for the project’s length. Optimistic Time: The least amount of time to accomplish a task or activity.

  4. Feb 7, 2024 · Time estimates can be calculated based on the following: Optimistic time: The minimum amount of time needed to accomplish a task. Pessimistic time: The maximum amount of time needed to accomplish a task. Most likely time: The best estimate of how long it will likely take to accomplish a task.

  5. Dec 7, 2022 · We have a question where we need to calculate the most optimistic time. The most likely time is given as 20, most pessimistic is 60, and expected is 10. This yields a negative answer for the most optimistic duration (-80). Is that possible and what does that mean?

  6. May 17, 2022 · Write down all the project tasks associated with your project and three time estimates for each task: optimistic, pessimistic, and most likely. Then use the following formula to come up with an estimated length for each task — this will be the length of time you put in your PERT chart.

  7. time and its variance. 5. Convert optimistic, most likely, and pessimistic time estimates into expected activity time estimates. 6. Compute the probability of the project being completed by a specific time. 7. Compute the project completion time given a certain level of probability. 8. Find the least expensive way to shorten the